Políticas públicas para la sostenibilidad en entornos inciertos 340 126
Propuesta de métodos para el contexto venezolano
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.51896/ocsi.v7i1.1096Palabras clave:
políticas gubernamentales, desarrollo sostenible, gobierno, planificación estratégica, toma de decisionesResumen
La formulación de políticas públicas para la sostenibilidad en contextos de alta volatilidad e incertidumbre institucional, como el venezolano, enfrenta el fracaso sistemático de los modelos racionales-lineales tradicionales. Este artículo aborda dicha problemática proponiendo el Marco Integrado Prospectivo-Delphi (MIPD), un artefacto metodológico que articula el análisis prospectivo estructural (MICMAC, MACTOR) con el método Delphi bajo los principios epistemológicos del Pensamiento Complejo. A través de un análisis conceptual y una síntesis teórica, se demuestra cómo la integración recursiva del diagnóstico sistémico y la deliberación de actores permite superar la dicotomía histórica entre el rigor técnico y la legitimidad social. El resultado es un modelo dinámico capaz de gestionar tensiones y generar fundamentos de política pública que son, simultáneamente, sistémicamente robustos y políticamente viables, ofreciendo una contribución significativa para la gobernanza de problemas complejos en el Sur Global.
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Derechos de autor 2026 Adolfo Javier Cegarra Acosta, Lisbeth Yanira Guerra Unda
Esta obra está bajo una licencia internacional Creative Commons Atribución-NoComercial 4.0.
