Public policies for sustainability in uncertain environments 340 126
Proposal of methods for the venezuelan context
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.51896/ocsi.v7i1.1096Keywords:
government policies, sustainable development, government, strategic planning, decision-makingAbstract
The formulation of public policies for sustainability in contexts of high volatility and institutional uncertainty, such as Venezuela, faces the systematic failure of traditional rational-linear models of public policy. This article addresses this problem by proposing the Integrated Prospective-Delphi Framework (IPDF), a methodological tool that articulates structural prospective analysis (MICMAC, MACTOR) with the Delphi method under the epistemological principles of Complex Systems Thinking. Through conceptual analysis and theoretical synthesis, this study demonstrates how the recursive integration of systemic diagnosis and stakeholder deliberation allows us to overcome the historical dichotomy between technical rigor and social legitimacy. The result is a dynamic model capable of managing tensions and generating public policy foundations that are simultaneously systemically robust and politically viable, offering a significant contribution to governance of complex problems in the Global South.
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